The battle between left and right-wing factions in global politics continues to unfold with intensity. When one turns to France, there is the fierce rivalry between the left-wing President Emmanuel Macron and the right-wing Marine Le Pen, with the outcome still unclear. In Germany, the right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD), led by Alice Weidel, has gained notable ground, while the left-wing Chancellor Olaf Scholz faces mounting challenges and the potential of losing his position. In the United Kingdom, the left-wing Labor Party has successfully displaced the right-wing Conservative government, signaling a shift in political direction. Meanwhile, in the United States, the right-wing movement, championed by Donald Trump, has emerged victorious, as the left-wing Democratic Party struggles with the loss of both the presidency and its majority in Congress.
The struggle between the left and right will certainly continue. However, what is more noteworthy is that both the left and the right have grand ambitions to change the current world, eager to reshape the world order according to their ideals. This desire is in direct contrast to the wish to maintain stability.
Therefore, in today's world, when a left-wing government comes to power, it often seeks to overturn the policies of the previous right-wing government, as seen when the progressive Biden administration took the risks when it was power. The outcome, however, became evident in 2024, when these risks materialized, and the left-wing Democratic Party lost the support of the American public, paving the way for Trump's electoral victory and his return to power.
Understandably, after returning to power, the right-wing Trump administration will also completely negate the left-wing Biden administration, undoing most of its policies and reshaping a new political order. This would come as no surprise, as both the left and the right operate at opposite ends of the political spectrum, each pushing for increasingly extreme policy agendas.
When will such political extremism subside? This is a fundamental question that demands consideration. In my personal assessment, a return to the political center seems unlikely before 2030. The forces of polarization are expected to endure for the foreseeable future, making meaningful reconciliation between the left and right wings increasingly difficult to attain.
In order for political reconciliation between the left and right to materialize, several critical conditions must be met: 1) widespread public disillusionment with political polarization; 2) exceptional persuasive leadership; 3) a return to media neutrality, rather than the media self-righteously aligning with one side or the other; 4) the restoration of democratic authority within legislatures, characterized by objectivity and broad public support; 5) a shift in intellectual thought, with a re-evaluation and rejection of polarized ideologies. The realization of these conditions is challenging, particularly in an unstable economic climate, which makes their achievement even more difficult. As such, I foresee that political polarization will likely persist for at least another decade, and we are still far from an era of more moderate politics.
What we must hope for is that, during such a period of political polarization, there will be no violent conflict or even war. If that is avoided, it would already be a stroke of luck.